{ "schemaVersion": 1, "lastUpdated": "2026-07-02", "product": { "workingName": "Carbon Market Intelligence", "productFrame": "Carbon Market Maturity Dashboard", "routeTarget": "/carbon/market-intelligence/", "status": "public_dashboard", "publicationReadiness": "live_with_dated_source_checks", "publicData": { "json": "/assets/data/carbon-market-intelligence-metrics.json", "csv": "/assets/data/carbon-market-intelligence-metrics.csv", "historyJson": "/assets/data/carbon-market-intelligence-history.json", "historyCsv": "/assets/data/carbon-market-intelligence-history.csv", "changelogJson": "/assets/data/carbon-market-intelligence-changelog.json", "pricingJson": "/assets/data/carbon-market-intelligence-prices.json", "pricingCsv": "/assets/data/carbon-market-intelligence-prices.csv" } }, "methodology": { "readerPromise": "A source-backed dashboard tracking whether carbon markets are becoming more credible, transparent, interoperable and useful.", "statusBoundary": "Status labels are editorial evidence labels, not financial ratings, procurement recommendations or legal judgements.", "sourceRule": "Every metric needs a primary or market-defining source, a related TPB article and a review trigger.", "publicationNote": "Values are dated source checks and public market snapshots, not live trading feeds." }, "summary": { "indicatorCount": 14, "marketRead": "mixed_to_maturing", "marketReadLabel": "Mixed to maturing", "marketReadNote": "Compliance carbon markets are established and integrity rules are tightening, while Article 6, CORSIA, removals delivery and voluntary price transparency are still uneven.", "strengthening": 3, "maturing": 4, "emerging": 3, "mixed": 3, "watch": 1, "stressed": 0, "dataPending": 0 }, "capabilities": [ { "id": "pricing", "label": "Pricing", "status": "watch", "summary": "Compliance prices are easier to track than voluntary credit prices, where quality, vintage, geography and claim use still split the market.", "relatedMetrics": [ "eu-ets-market-depth", "corsia-price-context", "voluntary-price-transparency" ] }, { "id": "compliance-depth", "label": "Compliance depth", "status": "maturing", "summary": "The European Union Emissions Trading System and the UK Emissions Trading Scheme provide established compliance-market anchors.", "relatedMetrics": [ "eu-ets-market-depth", "uk-ets-policy-alignment", "carbon-pricing-coverage" ] }, { "id": "article-6-transfers", "label": "Article 6 transfers", "status": "emerging", "summary": "Rules are moving into operation, but repeatable authorisation and transfer evidence remains the test.", "relatedMetrics": [ "article-6-pacm-implementation", "article-6-authorisation-evidence" ] }, { "id": "registry-evidence", "label": "Registry evidence", "status": "maturing", "summary": "Public retirement records and programme data are useful, but buyers still need project, vintage, serial and claim-use evidence.", "relatedMetrics": [ "registry-retirement-evidence", "icvcm-ccp-labels" ] }, { "id": "credit-integrity", "label": "Credit integrity", "status": "strengthening", "summary": "Integrity labels and claims codes are adding discipline, although adoption remains uneven across the market.", "relatedMetrics": [ "icvcm-ccp-labels", "vcmi-claims-guidance", "climate-claims-boundary" ] }, { "id": "removals-delivery", "label": "Removals delivery", "status": "emerging", "summary": "Forward demand is visible, but delivered durable removals remain much smaller than long-term procurement ambitions.", "relatedMetrics": [ "frontier-removal-delivery", "durable-removal-supply" ] }, { "id": "claims-discipline", "label": "Claims discipline", "status": "strengthening", "summary": "Claims guidance is becoming more explicit about reductions, contributions, removals, retirement evidence and public wording.", "relatedMetrics": [ "vcmi-claims-guidance", "climate-claims-boundary", "registry-retirement-evidence" ] }, { "id": "transparency", "label": "Transparency", "status": "mixed", "summary": "Source material is improving, but the market still lacks one consistent view across compliance, voluntary, Article 6 and removals data.", "relatedMetrics": [ "voluntary-price-transparency", "article-6-authorisation-evidence", "registry-retirement-evidence" ] } ], "marketSignals": [ { "id": "2026-07-compliance-markets-anchor", "date": "2026-07-02", "type": "data_update", "section": "Compliance markets", "title": "Compliance systems remain the clearest market anchors", "summary": "EU and UK carbon markets give the dashboard its most mature reference points, even where policy alignment and price context still need watching.", "sourceName": "European Commission and UK Government", "sourceUrl": "https://climate.ec.europa.eu/eu-action/eu-emissions-trading-system-eu-ets_en", "relatedMetric": "eu-ets-market-depth", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/eu-ets-explained/" }, { "id": "2026-07-article-6-operational-test", "date": "2026-07-02", "type": "policy_update", "section": "Article 6", "title": "Article 6 is now an operational evidence question", "summary": "The useful question is no longer only what the rulebook says, but whether authorisations, registries and corresponding adjustments can be traced.", "sourceName": "UNFCCC", "sourceUrl": "https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/article-64-mechanism", "relatedMetric": "article-6-authorisation-evidence", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/climate-policy/corresponding-adjustments-explained/" }, { "id": "2026-07-corsia-eligibility", "date": "2026-07-02", "type": "eligibility_update", "section": "CORSIA", "title": "CORSIA eligibility remains a practical buyer filter", "summary": "Programme eligibility, vintage limits and aviation use rules can separate CORSIA units from ordinary voluntary market supply.", "sourceName": "ICAO", "sourceUrl": "https://www.icao.int/environmental-protection/CORSIA/Pages/CORSIA-Emissions-Units.aspx", "relatedMetric": "corsia-eligible-programmes", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/corsia/" }, { "id": "2026-07-icvcm-adoption", "date": "2026-07-02", "type": "integrity_update", "section": "Registry integrity", "title": "Integrity labels are becoming part of the evidence file", "summary": "ICVCM labels can help buyers screen credit categories, but they do not remove the need to check project evidence and claim wording.", "sourceName": "ICVCM", "sourceUrl": "https://icvcm.org/assessment-status/", "relatedMetric": "icvcm-ccp-labels", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/icvcm-ccp-labels-explained/" }, { "id": "2026-07-retirement-evidence", "date": "2026-07-02", "type": "registry_update", "section": "Registry integrity", "title": "Retirement evidence is still the claims hinge", "summary": "A public claim depends on whether the specific units, retirement purpose and beneficiary can be matched to the statement being made.", "sourceName": "Verra Registry", "sourceUrl": "https://registry.verra.org/", "relatedMetric": "registry-retirement-evidence", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/carbon-credit-retirement-evidence/" }, { "id": "2026-07-removals-delivery-gap", "date": "2026-07-02", "type": "watch", "section": "Removals", "title": "Removal demand is visible before delivery is broad", "summary": "Long-term offtake commitments are useful market signals, but delivered tonnes and durability evidence matter more for claims.", "sourceName": "Frontier", "sourceUrl": "https://frontierclimate.com/", "relatedMetric": "frontier-removal-delivery", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/frontier-carbon-removal-explained/" }, { "id": "2026-07-claims-guidance", "date": "2026-07-02", "type": "claims_update", "section": "Claims", "title": "Claims guidance is becoming more specific", "summary": "The claims layer is moving from broad offset language toward clearer distinctions between reductions, contributions and neutralisation claims.", "sourceName": "VCMI", "sourceUrl": "https://vcmintegrity.org/vcmi-claims-code/", "relatedMetric": "vcmi-claims-guidance", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/vcmi-claims-code-explained/" }, { "id": "2026-07-voluntary-price-transparency", "date": "2026-07-02", "type": "price_update", "section": "Prices", "title": "Voluntary credit prices still need careful context", "summary": "A price quote without project type, vintage, registry, durability and claim use is not enough to judge market quality.", "sourceName": "Ecosystem Marketplace", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ecosystemmarketplace.com/carbon-markets/", "relatedMetric": "voluntary-price-transparency", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/carbon-credit-prices-2026/" } ], "metrics": [ { "id": "eu-ets-market-depth", "section": "Compliance markets", "capability": "Compliance depth", "dashboardTier": "core", "metricName": "EU ETS market depth", "status": "maturing", "direction": "market_anchor", "latestValue": null, "unit": "", "displayValue": "Established compliance market", "periodCovered": "Current source check", "baselineValue": null, "baselinePeriod": null, "changeSummary": "The European Union Emissions Trading System remains the main compliance-market anchor for carbon price and cap design.", "currentSignal": "Mature policy structure with continuing cap, sector and price relevance.", "interpretation": "The EU ETS is useful as a reference point because it combines legal obligation, allowance scarcity, trading infrastructure and a long policy history.", "limit": "A mature compliance market does not make voluntary credit quality easier to judge, and allowance prices are not interchangeable with project-credit prices.", "nextTest": "Watch cap changes, sector coverage, auction supply and links to the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism.", "sourceName": "European Commission EU ETS", "sourceUrl": "https://climate.ec.europa.eu/eu-action/eu-emissions-trading-system-eu-ets_en", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/eu-ets-explained/", "articleOwner": "eu-ets-explained", "lastChecked": "2026-07-02", "reviewTrigger": "EU ETS cap, phase, sector coverage, auction or policy design update.", "sourceCadence": "irregular plus market movement", "geography": "European Union", "sourceType": "official policy source", "confidence": "established compliance market", "downloadCitation": "EU ETS market depth is treated as maturing in The Planet Brief dashboard review on 2 July 2026 because it remains the main compliance-market anchor for carbon price and cap design.", "chart": { "type": "maturity_bar", "label": "Market architecture maturity", "value": 82, "leftLabel": "early", "rightLabel": "established" } }, { "id": "uk-ets-policy-alignment", "section": "Compliance markets", "capability": "Compliance depth", "dashboardTier": "core", "metricName": "UK ETS policy alignment", "status": "mixed", "direction": "policy_signal", "latestValue": null, "unit": "", "displayValue": "Active but separate", "periodCovered": "Current source check", "baselineValue": null, "baselinePeriod": null, "changeSummary": "The UK Emissions Trading Scheme is established, but its relationship with EU ETS design and price context remains a recurring market question.", "currentSignal": "Operational compliance market with alignment and divergence questions.", "interpretation": "UK ETS matters because it gives UK industry a domestic carbon price signal, while divergence from the EU can affect comparison, compliance planning and border-policy exposure.", "limit": "The useful question is not only whether the market exists, but whether cap design, liquidity, free allocation and linkage discussions support a durable signal.", "nextTest": "Watch UK ETS authority updates, cap consultation outcomes and any formal linkage or alignment decisions.", "sourceName": "UK Government UK ETS guidance", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/participating-in-the-uk-ets", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/eu-ets-vs-uk-ets/", "articleOwner": "eu-ets-vs-uk-ets", "lastChecked": "2026-07-02", "reviewTrigger": "UK ETS authority update, consultation response, cap change or linkage decision.", "sourceCadence": "irregular", "geography": "United Kingdom", "sourceType": "official policy source", "confidence": "operational market with policy watch", "downloadCitation": "UK ETS policy alignment is treated as mixed in The Planet Brief dashboard review on 2 July 2026 because the scheme is operational, but alignment and divergence questions remain material.", "chart": { "type": "maturity_bar", "label": "Policy alignment visibility", "value": 58, "leftLabel": "divergent", "rightLabel": "clear" } }, { "id": "carbon-pricing-coverage", "section": "Compliance markets", "capability": "Compliance depth", "dashboardTier": "core", "metricName": "Carbon pricing coverage", "status": "maturing", "direction": "coverage_signal", "latestValue": null, "unit": "", "displayValue": "Wider policy coverage", "periodCovered": "Current source check", "baselineValue": null, "baselinePeriod": null, "changeSummary": "Carbon pricing is now a mainstream policy tool, but coverage, price level and sector impact vary widely.", "currentSignal": "Broader adoption with uneven ambition.", "interpretation": "Coverage matters because more jurisdictions using carbon prices can make compliance markets more comparable, but weak coverage or low prices can still leave limited transition pressure.", "limit": "A jurisdiction with a carbon price is not automatically sending a strong carbon-market signal.", "nextTest": "Watch new national systems, sector expansion, price floors, cap tightening and international coordination efforts.", "sourceName": "World Bank Carbon Pricing Dashboard", "sourceUrl": "https://carbonpricingdashboard.worldbank.org/", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/open-coalition-compliance-carbon-markets/", "articleOwner": "open-coalition-compliance-carbon-markets", "lastChecked": "2026-07-02", "reviewTrigger": "World Bank carbon pricing update, major national system launch or compliance-market coalition update.", "sourceCadence": "annual and irregular", "geography": "Global", "sourceType": "market and policy data source", "confidence": "coverage signal", "downloadCitation": "Carbon pricing coverage is treated as maturing in The Planet Brief dashboard review on 2 July 2026 because carbon pricing is now a mainstream policy tool, while coverage and price strength remain uneven.", "chart": { "type": "maturity_bar", "label": "Policy coverage maturity", "value": 66, "leftLabel": "limited", "rightLabel": "broad" } }, { "id": "article-6-pacm-implementation", "section": "Article 6", "capability": "International transfers", "dashboardTier": "core", "metricName": "Article 6.4 mechanism implementation", "status": "emerging", "direction": "process_signal", "latestValue": null, "unit": "", "displayValue": "Operational design moving", "periodCovered": "Current source check", "baselineValue": null, "baselinePeriod": null, "changeSummary": "Article 6.4 has moved from rulebook debate toward implementation, but market depth depends on repeatable issuance and use.", "currentSignal": "Implementation activity before broad market liquidity.", "interpretation": "The Paris Agreement Crediting Mechanism matters because it can create a central UN-supervised route for credits used in international cooperation and potentially private claims.", "limit": "A mechanism can be operational before buyers have enough issuance, price discovery and claim evidence to treat it as mature.", "nextTest": "Watch Supervisory Body decisions, methodology approvals, registry functionality, first issuances and public transfer records.", "sourceName": "UNFCCC Article 6.4 mechanism", "sourceUrl": "https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/article-64-mechanism", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/climate-policy/article-6-paris-agreement-explained/", "articleOwner": "article-6-paris-agreement-explained", "lastChecked": "2026-07-02", "reviewTrigger": "Article 6.4 Supervisory Body decision, methodology approval, registry update or first issuance milestone.", "sourceCadence": "irregular", "geography": "International", "sourceType": "official policy and mechanism source", "confidence": "process milestone", "downloadCitation": "Article 6.4 implementation is treated as emerging in The Planet Brief dashboard review on 2 July 2026 because the mechanism is moving toward operation before broad market depth is proven.", "chart": { "type": "status_timeline", "label": "Article 6.4 route", "steps": [ "Rulebook", "Supervision", "Issuance", "Repeated use" ], "activeIndex": 1 } }, { "id": "article-6-authorisation-evidence", "section": "Article 6", "capability": "International transfers", "dashboardTier": "core", "metricName": "Authorisation and corresponding-adjustment evidence", "status": "emerging", "direction": "evidence_signal", "latestValue": null, "unit": "", "displayValue": "Evidence layer forming", "periodCovered": "Current source check", "baselineValue": null, "baselinePeriod": null, "changeSummary": "Article 6 use depends on whether authorisations and corresponding adjustments can be traced across claims and national accounts.", "currentSignal": "The accounting trail is becoming the market test.", "interpretation": "The market becomes more credible when buyers can see not only a project and registry record, but also host-country authorisation and accounting treatment.", "limit": "Authorisation language can be complex, and a claim may still fail if the unit, use purpose or corresponding-adjustment treatment is unclear.", "nextTest": "Watch host-country authorisation templates, registry flags, first transfer records and claims that cite Article 6 treatment.", "sourceName": "UNFCCC cooperative implementation", "sourceUrl": "https://unfccc.int/process/the-paris-agreement/cooperative-implementation", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/climate-policy/corresponding-adjustments-explained/", "articleOwner": "corresponding-adjustments-explained", "lastChecked": "2026-07-02", "reviewTrigger": "Host-country authorisation update, corresponding-adjustment registry evidence or Article 6 transfer record.", "sourceCadence": "irregular", "geography": "International", "sourceType": "official policy source", "confidence": "evidence milestone", "downloadCitation": "Article 6 authorisation evidence is treated as emerging in The Planet Brief dashboard review on 2 July 2026 because the accounting trail is becoming a practical market test.", "chart": { "type": "status_timeline", "label": "Evidence trail", "steps": [ "Project", "Authorisation", "Adjustment", "Claim" ], "activeIndex": 1 } }, { "id": "corsia-eligible-programmes", "section": "CORSIA", "capability": "Compliance demand", "dashboardTier": "core", "metricName": "CORSIA eligible programmes", "status": "strengthening", "direction": "eligibility_signal", "latestValue": null, "unit": "", "displayValue": "Eligibility filter active", "periodCovered": "Current source check", "baselineValue": null, "baselinePeriod": null, "changeSummary": "CORSIA eligibility gives aviation buyers a clearer compliance-style filter than the ordinary voluntary market.", "currentSignal": "Eligibility rules are now a real procurement screen.", "interpretation": "CORSIA matters because airlines cannot treat any voluntary credit as suitable. Programme approval, vintage, methodology limits and cancellation rules all matter.", "limit": "Eligible does not mean risk-free, cheap or claim-ready for every buyer.", "nextTest": "Watch ICAO eligible emissions unit updates, phase rules, vintage limits and host-country authorisation treatment.", "sourceName": "ICAO CORSIA eligible emissions units", "sourceUrl": "https://www.icao.int/environmental-protection/CORSIA/Pages/CORSIA-Emissions-Units.aspx", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/corsia/", "articleOwner": "corsia", "lastChecked": "2026-07-02", "reviewTrigger": "ICAO eligibility document update, CORSIA phase update or eligible programme condition change.", "sourceCadence": "irregular with compliance-cycle relevance", "geography": "International aviation", "sourceType": "official programme source", "confidence": "eligibility source", "downloadCitation": "CORSIA eligible programmes are treated as strengthening in The Planet Brief dashboard review on 2 July 2026 because eligibility rules create a practical aviation buyer filter.", "chart": { "type": "status_timeline", "label": "Eligibility filter", "steps": [ "Programme", "Vintage", "Condition", "Cancellation" ], "activeIndex": 2 } }, { "id": "corsia-price-context", "section": "CORSIA", "capability": "Pricing", "dashboardTier": "supporting", "metricName": "CORSIA eligible credit price context", "status": "mixed", "direction": "price_context", "latestValue": null, "unit": "", "displayValue": "Specialist price context", "periodCovered": "Current source check", "baselineValue": null, "baselinePeriod": null, "changeSummary": "CORSIA eligible units can trade differently from generic voluntary credits because eligibility creates a narrower buyer use case.", "currentSignal": "Useful pricing context, but not a simple market-wide benchmark.", "interpretation": "Price matters most when it is attached to eligibility, vintage, programme and claim-use context.", "limit": "A single price number can mislead if it hides programme, vintage, authorisation and cancellation conditions.", "nextTest": "Watch CORSIA phase demand, eligible supply, Article 6 authorisation treatment and transparent quoted ranges.", "sourceName": "ICAO CORSIA eligible emissions units", "sourceUrl": "https://www.icao.int/environmental-protection/CORSIA/Pages/CORSIA-Emissions-Units.aspx", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/corsia/credit-prices/", "articleOwner": "corsia-credit-prices", "lastChecked": "2026-07-02", "reviewTrigger": "CORSIA eligibility update, market price-source update or aviation compliance phase milestone.", "sourceCadence": "monthly light check plus eligibility events", "geography": "International aviation", "sourceType": "official eligibility source and market context", "confidence": "contextual price signal", "downloadCitation": "CORSIA price context is treated as mixed in The Planet Brief dashboard review on 2 July 2026 because eligibility creates a narrower buyer use case, while price visibility remains context-dependent.", "chart": { "type": "maturity_bar", "label": "Price context clarity", "value": 48, "leftLabel": "thin", "rightLabel": "clear" } }, { "id": "icvcm-ccp-labels", "section": "Registry integrity", "capability": "Credit integrity", "dashboardTier": "core", "metricName": "ICVCM CCP label adoption", "status": "strengthening", "direction": "integrity_signal", "latestValue": null, "unit": "", "displayValue": "Integrity label adoption", "periodCovered": "Current source check", "baselineValue": null, "baselinePeriod": null, "changeSummary": "Core Carbon Principles labels are becoming a visible quality screen for parts of the voluntary carbon market.", "currentSignal": "Stronger category-level evidence, not a substitute for project due diligence.", "interpretation": "ICVCM labels can help separate approved credit categories from weaker supply, but buyers still need to check project, vintage, registry and claim use.", "limit": "A label is not the same as a complete buyer evidence file.", "nextTest": "Watch category approvals, methodology decisions, programme coverage and buyer adoption in actual procurement.", "sourceName": "ICVCM assessment status", "sourceUrl": "https://icvcm.org/assessment-status/", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/icvcm-ccp-labels-explained/", "articleOwner": "icvcm-ccp-labels-explained", "lastChecked": "2026-07-02", "reviewTrigger": "ICVCM category, methodology or programme assessment update.", "sourceCadence": "irregular", "geography": "Global voluntary carbon market", "sourceType": "integrity initiative source", "confidence": "integrity-label source", "downloadCitation": "ICVCM CCP label adoption is treated as strengthening in The Planet Brief dashboard review on 2 July 2026 because labels are becoming a visible quality screen for parts of the voluntary carbon market.", "chart": { "type": "status_timeline", "label": "Integrity label use", "steps": [ "Rules", "Categories", "Labels", "Procurement" ], "activeIndex": 2 } }, { "id": "registry-retirement-evidence", "section": "Registry integrity", "capability": "Registry evidence", "dashboardTier": "core", "metricName": "Registry retirement evidence", "status": "maturing", "direction": "evidence_signal", "latestValue": null, "unit": "", "displayValue": "Evidence trail visible", "periodCovered": "Current source check", "baselineValue": null, "baselinePeriod": null, "changeSummary": "Registry records make credit retirement more traceable, but the claim still depends on the exact unit, beneficiary and wording.", "currentSignal": "Better visibility with important claim-level checks.", "interpretation": "Retirement evidence is the practical hinge between a credit purchase and a public climate claim.", "limit": "A registry retirement does not prove that the public claim is proportionate, current or correctly worded.", "nextTest": "Watch serial-number visibility, retirement purpose fields, beneficiary naming and links between registry records and public claims.", "sourceName": "Verra Registry", "sourceUrl": "https://registry.verra.org/", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/carbon-credit-retirement-evidence/", "articleOwner": "carbon-credit-retirement-evidence", "lastChecked": "2026-07-02", "reviewTrigger": "Registry functionality update, retirement-field change or major public claim dispute.", "sourceCadence": "irregular", "geography": "Global voluntary carbon market", "sourceType": "registry source", "confidence": "registry evidence source", "downloadCitation": "Registry retirement evidence is treated as maturing in The Planet Brief dashboard review on 2 July 2026 because registry records make credit retirement more traceable, while claim wording still needs separate review.", "chart": { "type": "status_timeline", "label": "Claim evidence trail", "steps": [ "Issue", "Transfer", "Retire", "Claim" ], "activeIndex": 2 } }, { "id": "frontier-removal-delivery", "section": "Removals", "capability": "Removals delivery", "dashboardTier": "core", "metricName": "Frontier contracted versus delivered removals", "status": "emerging", "direction": "delivery_signal", "latestValue": null, "unit": "", "displayValue": "Demand ahead of delivery", "periodCovered": "Current source check", "baselineValue": null, "baselinePeriod": null, "changeSummary": "Advanced market commitments show demand for durable removals before delivered tonnes reach large scale.", "currentSignal": "Market-building demand with delivery still the main proof point.", "interpretation": "Frontier matters because it shows serious buyers trying to scale durable removals, but contracted future tonnes should not be confused with delivered climate outcomes.", "limit": "Forward purchases can support market formation while still carrying delivery, durability and timing risk.", "nextTest": "Watch delivered tonnes, project delivery records, durability claims and any material change to contracted supply.", "sourceName": "Frontier", "sourceUrl": "https://frontierclimate.com/", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/frontier-carbon-removal-explained/", "articleOwner": "frontier-carbon-removal-explained", "lastChecked": "2026-07-02", "reviewTrigger": "Frontier dashboard update, delivery update, offtake announcement or buyer-claim update.", "sourceCadence": "quarterly to irregular", "geography": "Global carbon removals", "sourceType": "market-building buyer source", "confidence": "delivery watch", "downloadCitation": "Frontier removal delivery is treated as emerging in The Planet Brief dashboard review on 2 July 2026 because buyer demand is visible before delivered tonnes reach large scale.", "chart": { "type": "status_timeline", "label": "Removal market proof", "steps": [ "Commit", "Contract", "Deliver", "Verify" ], "activeIndex": 1 } }, { "id": "durable-removal-supply", "section": "Removals", "capability": "Removals delivery", "dashboardTier": "supporting", "metricName": "Durable removal supply visibility", "status": "mixed", "direction": "supply_signal", "latestValue": null, "unit": "", "displayValue": "Small but visible", "periodCovered": "Current source check", "baselineValue": null, "baselinePeriod": null, "changeSummary": "Durable carbon removal supply is more visible than it used to be, but delivery remains small relative to long-term climate need.", "currentSignal": "Useful growth signal with scale still limited.", "interpretation": "Durable removal supply matters because many net-zero strategies rely on removals for residual emissions, yet the delivered market is still early.", "limit": "A high removal price can reflect scarcity, novelty and delivery risk, not just climate quality.", "nextTest": "Watch delivered durable removal volumes, verified removals, project failure rates and public buyer claims.", "sourceName": "CDR.fyi", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cdr.fyi/", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/carbon-removal-credits-explained/", "articleOwner": "carbon-removal-credits-explained", "lastChecked": "2026-07-02", "reviewTrigger": "CDR market data update, major delivery announcement or methodology update.", "sourceCadence": "monthly to irregular", "geography": "Global carbon removals", "sourceType": "market data source", "confidence": "market visibility signal", "downloadCitation": "Durable removal supply visibility is treated as mixed in The Planet Brief dashboard review on 2 July 2026 because supply is more visible, but delivered scale remains early.", "chart": { "type": "maturity_bar", "label": "Delivery visibility", "value": 42, "leftLabel": "thin", "rightLabel": "broad" } }, { "id": "vcmi-claims-guidance", "section": "Claims", "capability": "Claims discipline", "dashboardTier": "core", "metricName": "VCMI claims guidance", "status": "strengthening", "direction": "claims_signal", "latestValue": null, "unit": "", "displayValue": "Claims framework active", "periodCovered": "Current source check", "baselineValue": null, "baselinePeriod": null, "changeSummary": "VCMI guidance gives buyers a more disciplined way to connect credits, reductions and public claims.", "currentSignal": "Stronger claims architecture, still dependent on buyer adoption.", "interpretation": "Claims guidance matters because a high-quality credit can still be misused if the company overstates what the purchase means.", "limit": "Guidance does not enforce itself, and claim risk still depends on jurisdiction, evidence and wording.", "nextTest": "Watch VCMI updates, regulator action, corporate adoption and disputes involving credit-backed claims.", "sourceName": "VCMI Claims Code", "sourceUrl": "https://vcmintegrity.org/vcmi-claims-code/", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/vcmi-claims-code-explained/", "articleOwner": "vcmi-claims-code-explained", "lastChecked": "2026-07-02", "reviewTrigger": "VCMI code update, claims guidance update, regulator action or major corporate claim review.", "sourceCadence": "irregular", "geography": "Global voluntary carbon market", "sourceType": "claims guidance source", "confidence": "claims framework source", "downloadCitation": "VCMI claims guidance is treated as strengthening in The Planet Brief dashboard review on 2 July 2026 because the framework gives buyers a more disciplined way to connect credits, reductions and public claims.", "chart": { "type": "status_timeline", "label": "Claims discipline", "steps": [ "Guidance", "Adoption", "Disclosure", "Assurance" ], "activeIndex": 1 } }, { "id": "climate-claims-boundary", "section": "Claims", "capability": "Claims discipline", "dashboardTier": "core", "metricName": "Climate claims boundary", "status": "maturing", "direction": "claims_signal", "latestValue": null, "unit": "", "displayValue": "Claims scrutiny rising", "periodCovered": "Current source check", "baselineValue": null, "baselinePeriod": null, "changeSummary": "Regulators and claims frameworks are making it harder to treat offsetting, contribution and net-zero language as interchangeable.", "currentSignal": "Clearer boundary between evidence, wording and public promise.", "interpretation": "The claims boundary matters because carbon market quality is judged not only by credit supply, but by how buyers describe the use of credits.", "limit": "Different jurisdictions and sectors can still apply different claims rules.", "nextTest": "Watch green-claims enforcement, regulator guidance, litigation and revisions to voluntary claims frameworks.", "sourceName": "UK Competition and Markets Authority Green Claims Code", "sourceUrl": "https://greenclaims.campaign.gov.uk/", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/climate-claims-hierarchy/", "articleOwner": "climate-claims-hierarchy", "lastChecked": "2026-07-02", "reviewTrigger": "Green claims enforcement action, CMA guidance update, VCMI update or high-profile claim dispute.", "sourceCadence": "irregular", "geography": "United Kingdom and global claims context", "sourceType": "regulatory guidance source", "confidence": "claims boundary source", "downloadCitation": "Climate claims boundaries are treated as maturing in The Planet Brief dashboard review on 2 July 2026 because regulators and claims frameworks are making offsetting, contribution and net-zero language harder to blur.", "chart": { "type": "maturity_bar", "label": "Claims boundary clarity", "value": 68, "leftLabel": "loose", "rightLabel": "clear" } }, { "id": "voluntary-price-transparency", "section": "Prices", "capability": "Pricing", "dashboardTier": "supporting", "metricName": "Voluntary credit price transparency", "status": "watch", "direction": "price_context", "latestValue": null, "unit": "", "displayValue": "Highly segmented", "periodCovered": "Current source check", "baselineValue": null, "baselinePeriod": null, "changeSummary": "Voluntary credit prices remain difficult to compare because credits differ by project type, vintage, registry, geography, durability and claim use.", "currentSignal": "Price context is useful only when the credit boundary is clear.", "interpretation": "A cheap credit, expensive credit or rising quote says little without knowing the underlying project and claim use.", "limit": "Transparent price discovery remains thinner than in compliance markets.", "nextTest": "Watch dated price ranges by project type, transparent trades, removal delivery prices and CORSIA-eligible supply pricing.", "sourceName": "Ecosystem Marketplace carbon markets", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ecosystemmarketplace.com/carbon-markets/", "relatedArticle": "/carbon/carbon-credit-prices-2026/", "articleOwner": "carbon-credit-prices-2026", "lastChecked": "2026-07-02", "reviewTrigger": "State of the voluntary carbon market update, dated price benchmark update or major market-price methodology change.", "sourceCadence": "monthly to annual depending on source", "geography": "Global voluntary carbon market", "sourceType": "market context source", "confidence": "segmented price signal", "downloadCitation": "Voluntary credit price transparency is marked as watch in The Planet Brief dashboard review on 2 July 2026 because prices remain difficult to compare without project, vintage, registry, geography, durability and claim context.", "chart": { "type": "maturity_bar", "label": "Price comparability", "value": 34, "leftLabel": "opaque", "rightLabel": "clear" } } ] }